There are 20 castaways this season so there are less chances of correctly predicting the winner, but if the main arch of the season is whether Russel H succeeds in his diabolical plans as seen in Episode 1, then I predict him OR the one who silently distrusts him (Betsy) to win the game.
Season 19 Picks to win
As for the pilot, okay lang. I wasn't expecting that much since the two previous seasons were pretty lackluster. I'm more excited for the next All Star season that's currently filming in Samoa.:)
ETA (01/01/10): I got it wrong. Betsy was the 2nd castaway voted out and Russel only came in 2nd. Not to take anything away from Natalie but I think Russel deserved the title, though. :)